The FTSE 100 (^FTSE) pushed higher against its European peers on Tuesday as traders digested new growth figures and inflation data for the eurozone.
It managed to escape recession, beating growth forecasts for the start of this year, with gross domestic product (GDP) across the single currency bloc expanding by 0.3% in the January to March period.
This means that the eurozone’s shallow technical recession is over after GDP shrank by 0.1% in both the third and fourth quarters of last year. According to statistics body Eurostat, it was lifted by stronger-than-expected growth in Germany, France, Italy and Spain.
Meanwhile, consumer price inflation across the eurozone remained at 2.4% in the year to April, matching March’s reading.
Read more: Eurozone avoids recession while inflation holds steady at 2.4%
“The spigot has been opened since it attained its new record high and the FTSE 100 continued to flow higher on Tuesday amid a raft of corporate announcements,” said Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell.
“The index took its cue from gains on Wall Street with the next key test of the relative optimism displayed by the market coming tomorrow with the latest meeting of the US Federal Reserve.
“While the Fed is expected to maintain the status quo on interest rates, commentary on its current thinking on the trajectory of rates in the remainder of the year will likely have a significant impact on markets.”
Follow along for live updates throughout the day:
Live19 updates
-
McDonald’s misses sales estimates after hit from Middle East boycotts
McDonald’s has missed sales forecasts as boycotts over war in the Middle East hit takings.
The fast food restaurant chain said its same-store sales increased by 1.9% worldwide in the first quarter, below Wall Street’s forecast of a 2.1% rise.
Like-for-like sales in its international markets division were slightly negative, falling by 0.2%, as the segment “continued to be impacted by the war in the Middle East”.
Customers across the Middle East and in Muslim-majority markets like Indonesia and Malaysia have been boycotting the company over its perceived support for Israel.
Chris Kempczinski, chief executive, said:
“Our global comparable sales growth in the first quarter marks 13 consecutive quarters of positive comparable sales growth with 30% growth over the last 4 years.
“As consumers are more discriminating with every dollar that they spend, we will continue to earn their visits by delivering leading, reliable, everyday value and outstanding execution in our restaurants.
-
Gold prices dipped on Tuesday, with market focus turning to this week’s impending Fed meeting and rate decision. It comes as geopolitical instability has been a primary driver of gold’s value, spurred by heightened haven demand.
This surge has seen bullion prices climb nearly 20% in the past two months, peaking at an all-time high of $2,431.
Ricardo Evangelista, senior analyst at ActivTrades, said:
“However, as reports surface of peace talks between Israel and Hamas, reducing prospects of regional conflict escalation, trader attention shifts to the Federal Reserve and its forthcoming monetary policy announcement.”
“The decline in gold prices mirrors concerns that Jerome Powell, grappling with persistent inflation and a robust US economy, may adopt a more hawkish stance, delaying expectations for a rate cut until the fourth quarter of the year or even as far as 2025.”
“Such a scenario could spur dollar appreciation and higher treasury yields, posing a negative outlook for gold prices.”
-
Wall Street set to open lower
Wall Street stocks are set to open lower later today as traders await results from Amazon, AMD, Samsung, HSBC, Hermes, and Sanofi.
Amazon (AMZN) will report earnings after the bell in what will be a closely watched quarter for tech companies’ progress in the AI sector.
Analysts on Wall Street expect revenue of $142.6bn (£113.8bn) versus the $127.4bn in the same quarter last year. Adjusted earnings per share are predicted at $0.82, more than double the $0.31 in Q1 2023.
Meanwhile, online stores, Amazon Web Services and advertising are all expected to have grown. The E-commerce company has said it sees the potential for AI initiatives to generate tens of billions of dollars for its cloud business.
Pierre Veyret, technical analyst at ActivTrades, said:
“Investors, torn between monetary uncertainties and a solid earnings season so far, have a lot on their plate.
“Even if the overall environment remains somewhat supportive of equity markets, the development of many different market drivers simultaneously makes us expect volatility to remain high over the next few trading sessions.”
-
Mercedes-Benz shares fall as profits drop 34%
Luxury carmaker Mercedes-Benz (MBG.DE) left its guidance unchanged for the year and said it would continue share buybacks as its earnings dropped 34% in the first quarter.
Poor demand for electric vehicles was behind the lag, with earnings before interest and tax dropping to $3.9bn.
The company expects an increase in sales in the coming quarters, with an improvement in the Chinese market.
-
UK shop price inflation cools as retailers ramp up clothing deals
Clothing and footwear were among items that led the charge in a drop in annual shop price inflation in April, as the heat continues to dial down for UK consumer spending.
Shop price inflation eased to 0.8% in April, down from 1.3% in March, below the three-month average rate of 1.4% according to new figures from the British Retail Consortium. Shop price annual growth is its lowest since December 2021.
Non-food items were in deflationary territory, down 0.6% in April from a rise of 0.2% the previous month. This is below the three-month average rate of 3.9%. Inflation is its lowest since March 2022.
The falls in clothing and footwear are due to retailers ramping up promotions to encourage consumer spend, Helen Dickinson, NRC CEO said.
Meanwhile, food inflation slowed for the twelfth consecutive month to 2.4% from 2.6% a month earlier, as fresh products such as butter, fish and fruits, continued to fall in price due to easing input costs and intense competition between grocers.
Ambient food inflation also decelerated to 4.9% in April, down from 5.2% in March. This is below the three-month average rate of 5.6% and is the lowest since June 2022.
“While consumers will welcome the lower shop price inflation, geopolitical tensions and the knock-on impact on commodity prices, like oil, pose a threat to future price stability,” said Dickinson.
Read the full article here
-
Glencore expects bumper profits
Glencore is on track to reach the top end of its profit guidance thanks to strong commodity prices and higher interest rates.
The miner said copper, zinc and coal production in the first quarter was broadly in line with the previous year, while nickel increased 14%.
While profits are set to be lower than the record levels reached during the energy crisis, it expects a strong year ahead.
Core profit from the trading unit is expected to be between $3bn to $3.5bn (£2.4bn to £2.8bn) this year. The company has a longstanding guidance range of $2.2bn to $3.2bn.
Russ Mould, investment director at AJ Bell, said:
“Glencore has been quiet on murmurs it might join the race to buy Anglo American, however its first quarter production report is a good reminder of how it is a big player in the copper space and how buying the rival would make it an enormous one.
“It’s fair to say that Glencore is one of the most ambitious companies in the mining sector. With its fingers in multiple pies thanks to having a commodities trading division as well as a traditional mining arm, Glencore wants to be the biggest and the best.”
-
UK government net R&D expenditure rises
The UK government’s net expenditure on research and development (R&D) rose to £15.5bn in 2022, up from £14bn in 2021, an increase of 10.5%. This was excluding EU R&D budget contributions.
Total net expenditure on R&D, including EU R&D budget contributions and knowledge transfer activities was £16.4bn during the year — an increase of 8.9% from £15bn in 2021.
Other key information is found below:
-
UK Research and Innovation (UKRI), which includes the UK’s seven research councils, contributed the most to net expenditure on R&D (including EU R&D budget contributions plus knowledge transfer activities) at £6.2 billion, 37.9% of the total.
-
Civil R&D expenditure rose by £1.3 billion to a total of £13.4 billion in 2022, this is a larger increase than the rise seen in defence R&D of £217 million to a total of £2.1 billion in 2022.
-
In constant prices (adjusted for inflation), total civil net expenditure on R&D and knowledge transfer activities increased by 32.6% over the long term, from £10.4 billion in 2011 to £13.7 billion in 2022.
-
-
London rents hit record high of £2,633 a month
The costs of average advertised rental properties coming onto the market continue to balloon, especially in London, according to new data by property platform Rightmove (RMV.L), with average rental prices in the capital reaching a new record of £2,633 per calendar month.
The latest data shows that rental prices have reached new records for a seventeenth consecutive month across the country too, with the average price outside of London now £1,291 per month.
Despite the fact that average prices are now 8.5% higher than a year ago, there is potential relief on the horizon. The pace of rent growth has dropped for the second quarter in a row, with London experiencing a more significant pace of slowing rental growth than the rest of the country.
Average rents in the capital are now 5.3% higher than last year, with rent growth steadily slowing since the peak of 16.1% in the third quarter of 2022.
Tim Bannister, Rightmove’s director of property science, said:
“The rental market is no longer at peak boiling point but it remains at a very hot simmer.”
“Looking at data across the whole market, we can see some slow improvements for tenants with more choice, and competition with other tenants slowly starting to ease.”
-
Eurozone inflation holds stead at 2.4%
Consumer price inflation across the eurozone remained at 2.4% in the year to April, matching March’s reading.
Services inflation slowed from 4% to 3.7%, while food, alcohol and tobacco inflation picked up to 2.8% from 2.6%. Non-energy industrial goods prices rose by 0.9%, down from 1.1%.
Lower energy prices, following the surge in oil and gas after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine in 2022, are helping the economy.
Neil Birrell, chief investment officer at Premier Miton Investors, said:
“Inflation in the eurozone came in as expected but is proving to be stickier than might have been hoped for, mirroring experiences elsewhere.
“The economy is moving along nicely though, meaning that, all in all, the ECB will be able to stay on track to be the first of the major central banks to push the “cut” button on interest rates, probably in June.
“The prospects for the eurozone are on the up, at a time when there is doubt creeping in for other economies’ prospects.”
-
Rental stock availability up 12.1% annually
The latest research by London lettings and estate agent, Benham and Reeves, has shown that rental stock availability is up 12% year on year across England. London saw the largest boost to the number of homes available to prospective tenants.
Here are some of the key findings:
-
There were 154,510 rental properties available to tenants across England in Q1 of this year, marking a 12.1% increase versus Q1 2023.
-
Some 33 of the nation’s 48 counties have seen an improvement in the volume of homes reaching the market for potential tenants.
-
London saw the biggest boost to the level of rental stock currently available, with the City of London having an annual increase of 44.3%, while Greater London had a 34.7% jump.
-
Outside of the capital, Nottinghamshire was home to the largest increase in rental market listings, having seen a 28.2% increase versus the same period last year.
-
Other areas to rank within the top 10 include Northamptonshire (+19.5%), Berkshire (+18.8%), Dorset (+16.5%), Warwickshire (+15.6%), Bristol (+14%), Derbyshire (+13.2%) and Bedfordshire (+13.1%).
-
However, in Leicestershire, rental market stock levels have dropped by -17.3% annually, whilst the West Midlands (-11.4%) and Cheshire (-9.7%) have also seen some of the largest reductions.
-
-
Mortgage approvals hit highest level in 18 months
The number of mortgages approved to buyers last month came in at the highest since September 2022.
According to the latest figures from the Bank of England (BoE), mortgage approvals for house purchases rose from 60,500 in February to 61,300 in March.
Meanwhile, approvals for remortgaging decreased from 37,700 to 34,200 over the same period.
The “effective” interest rate, which is the actual interest paid, on newly-drawn mortgages decreased to 4.73% in March, it said.
-
German economy expands
The German economy expanded between January and March, avoiding a recession after a weak end to last year.
Official figures from federal statistics agency Destatis showed that output rose by 0.2% in the first quarter of 2024, compared to the previous three months in Europe’s biggest economy.
A mixed GDP release from Germany this morning. The 0.2% growth in Q1 is welcome. But Q4 was revised down by 0.2% to -0.5%.
So we are in fact back where we started……— Shaun Richards (@notayesmansecon) April 30, 2024
-
Lidl sets sights on hundreds of new UK stores
Lidl has announced plans to open hundreds of new stores across the UK, following a year of significant investment in its infrastructure, including the opening of its largest global warehouse in Luton.
The German discounter said it will create thousands of new jobs under its expansion proposals.
Stores opening across the country in coming months include Bristol, Birmingham and Berwick, along with Wandsworth, Fulham and Canning Town in London alone.
This year marks 30 years since the opening of Lidl first store, as it celebrates a record high market share of 8%.
Lidl GB chief development officer Richard Taylor said:
Having fortified our infrastructure with significant investments like Luton, which is the largest warehouse in the Lidl world, we’re proud to have achieved record market share this month.
We have also been the fastest growing bricks and mortar supermarket for the past seven months in a row.With an exceptional store network and our laser focus on operational excellence, we’re welcoming more customers through our doors than ever before, which positions us perfectly for continued expansion.
-
Premier Inn owner Whitbread to axe 1,500 jobs
Premier Inn owner Whitbread is set to cut 1,500 jobs as it closes restaurants and expands its hotel business.
It is looking to cut the number of branded restaurants, which includes the likes of Brewers Fayre and Beefeater, by more than 200 in a bid to build more hotel rooms.
Whitbread said the sale of 21 restaurants has already been agreed. The changes will add more than 3,500 hotel rooms across its estate.
Dominic Paul, Whitbread chief executive, said:
“We recognise that our transition will impact some of our team members so we will be providing support throughout this process and we are committed to working hard to enable as many as possible of those affected to remain with us.”
Whitbread said it would try to find “alternative opportunities” for affected staff “wherever possible” through new jobs created by its plans and through existing recruitment.
The firm employs 37,000 people across Britain.
It comes as Whitbread announced an adjusted pre-tax profit of £561m for the year to March, an improvement on its £413m profit the previous year.
-
French economy grows 0.2%
France’s economic growth accelerated by 0.2% in the first quarter of this year, beating expectations. This was a pick-up on the 0.1% growth recorded in October to December.
Economists had only expected growth of 0.1%.
According to statistics body INSE, household spending helped drive the economy, with final domestic demand bouncing back and contributing 0.4 percentage points to growth.
The decrease was partly due to a slowdown in the price rises of food (1.2%) and tobacco (9%), and also to a slight drop (-0.1%) in the cost of manufactured goods.
However, energy inflation rose to 3.8% from 3.4% in March, while services inflation stuck at 3%.
Meanwhile, foreign trade’s contribution to GDP growth fell to zero, with imports rising by 0.2% and exports up by 0.5%.
-
Noel Quinn on his departure from HSBC
After announcing his decision to retire, HSBC chief executive Noel Quinn said:
I never imagined when I started 37 years ago that I would have the honour of becoming group chief executive of this great bank.
I am proud of what we have achieved, and it has only been possible because of the talent, dedication, and commitment of the people at HSBC.
After an intense five years, it is now the right time for me to get a better balance between my personal and business life. I intend to pursue a portfolio career going forward.
-
HSBC beats estimates and announces buyback
HSBC’s (HSBA.L) results for the first quarter of 2024 came with a surprise as its CEO Noel Quinn announced early retirement after a five-year stint leading the bank. The lender has begun the hunt for his replacement.
The news came as it reported a pre-tax profit of $12.7bn (£10.1bn) — above analysts’ forecasts of $12.6bn and slightly less than the $12.9bn for the same quarter a year ago.
The bank has grappled with rising costs across Asia, high inflation and what it called “investment in technology”.
Profit before tax included a $4.8bn gain on the sale of its Canada business and a $1.1bn impairment relating to the planned sale of its Argentina business.
HSBC announced it will buyback $3bn worth of shares, bringing the total buybacks for shareholders to $8.8bn. It will also pay out a $0.10 per share dividend.
The bank’s 2024 guidance remains unchanged, it added.
-
Asia and US stocks
Stocks in Asia were mostly higher overnight with the Nikkei (^N225) rising 1.2% on the day in Tokyo, playing catch-up after a Japanese holiday on Monday.
The Hang Seng (^HSI) climbed 0.2% in Hong Kong for a seventh successive day, but the Shanghai Composite (000001.SS) was 0.3% down by the end of the session.
It came amid news that China’s factory activity in April grew more than expected.
Across the pond on Wall Street, the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose 0.3% to 5,116.17, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) added 0.4% to 38,386.09. The Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) gained 0.3% to 15,983.08.
In the bond market, the yield on the 10-year Treasury dropped to 4.61% from 4.67% late on Friday.
-
Coming up…
Good morning and welcome back to our markets live blog. As always, be sure to follow along to stay updated with what’s moving markets and happening across the global economy.
Here’s a quick look at what’s on the agenda for today:
-
6.30am: French GDP for Q1 2024
-
7am: German retail sales for March
-
7am: Trading updates: HSBC, Whitbread, Glencore, Prudential, St James’s Place, Card Factory
-
7.45am: French inflation report for April
-
8am: Spain’s GDP report for Q1 2024
-
9am: Germany’s GDP report for Q1 2024
-
9am: Italy’s GDP report for Q1 2024
-
9.30am: UK mortgage approvals and consumer credit data for March
-
10am: Eurozone GDP report for Q1 2024
-
10am: Eurozone inflation report for April
-
10.15am: UK Treasury committee holds opening session of inquiry into Russian financial sanctions
-
2pm: US house price index for February
-
2.30pm: Supermarket bosses appear at a Efra select committee hearing on food supply chains
-
Watch: Why interest rates matter to bonds, stocks and cash
Download the Yahoo Finance app, available for Apple and Android