More than $10 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options expired today, causing market volatility and highlighting bullish sentiment among traders.
Over $10 billion in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options are set to expire today, a significant event that could impact market trends and cause short-term volatility. Analysts closely monitor the volume and value of contracts to predict market movements. The put-to-call ratios for BTC and ETH options indicate a strong preference for call options, suggesting bullish sentiment among traders.
The notional value of expiring BTC options is in the billions of dollars, with a put-call ratio of 0.84. For ETH, there are over 400,000 total expiring contracts and a put-call ratio of 0.75. These ratios suggest that more traders are leaning toward buy-heavy calls rather than sell-heavy puts. The biggest problem with both BTC and ETH options is the level at which most contracts expire worthless, resulting in significant losses for the holder.
Market experts emphasize the importance of evaluating all positions and strike prices to fully understand potential gains or losses. Some traders remain optimistic despite the risks of short-term volatility and highlight opportunities. Analysts also cited the impact of current implied volatility and market sentiment, suggesting a cautiously hopeful outlook among investors.
According to options trading experts, expiry events can lead to a recalibration of market expectations. Leading trading platform Bybit points out that the correction in BTC prices has reduced implied volatility, especially for short-term contracts. ETH options are showing slightly more bullish sentiment than BTC, with higher demand for call options.
The market also reflects widespread crypto optimism related to regulatory developments. Some investors expect the regulatory environment to become more favorable following the recent change in SEC leadership, further increasing cautious optimism surrounding crypto assets.
Traders are advised to closely monitor market conditions as volatility often increases as options expire. Weekends are a critical period for market participants as volatility can increase due to lower trading volumes.